As Mayor Rahm Emanuel settles in for his second term, Medill Reports takes a closer look at voting patterns in the 50 wards during the city\u2019s first-ever mayoral runoff , and answers some of your burning questions about the election.<\/p>\n
Short answer: Yes. Voter turnout increased in all wards during the runoff, compared to the February general election. Overall, close to 40 percent of registered voters cast ballots in the runoff, compared to 34 percent in the general election.<\/p>\n
A darker shade of green indicates a higher increase in voter turnout during the runoff. (Jia You\/Medill)<\/div>\n
The race\u2019s high stakes, and the fact that voters had only two candidates to choose from, may have contributed to higher voter turnout, said Dick Simpson, a political science professor at the University of Illinois at Chicago and a former alderman.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt’s a more focused choice,\u201d he said.\u201cAnd the voters think that the outcome is important for the city.\u201d<\/p>\n
Indeed, research shows that people often tune out when facing too many choices, a factor that might partly explain voter apathy during the general election, said Mary Pattillo, a sociology and African-American studies professor at Northwestern University.<\/p>\n
\u201cWhen you have a lot of candidates it\u2019s a little overwhelming,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n
Nonetheless, Pattillo was disappointed that fewer than half the city\u2019s registered voters cast ballots in a race that could shape the city\u2019s future.<\/p>\n
\u201cI just don\u2019t think 40 percent is enough,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n
2. The winner: Who captured which wards?<\/h1>\n
Short answer: Emanuel won 35 of 50 wards in the runoff. The results showed a clear divide along racial lines. Emanuel captured all the black wards and most of the white wards, whereas voters in all but one Hispanic ward voted for Jesus \u201cChuy\u201d Garcia.<\/p>\n
[field name=”runoffmap2″]<\/p>\n
Blue indicates wards won by Emanuel; orange indicates wards won by Garcia. Darker colors indicate a bigger share of the vote. (Jia You\/Medill)<\/div>\n
Though both candidates prioritized outreach to black voters during the runoff, Emanuel \u2014 with his nearly $7 million TV ad spending \u2014 succeeded in highlighting Garcia\u2019s inexperience in city government, and persuaded black voters that he could handle the city\u2019s financial crisis, said Arness Dancy, CEO of the Chicagoland\u00a0Black\u00a0Chamber\u00a0of Commerce, Inc.<\/p>\n
\u201cEmanuel defined Garcia before he could define himself,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
In addition, Emanuel spoke more pointedly to black voters, emphasizing his role in bringing President Barack Obama\u2019s presidential library to the South Side, Pattillo said. In contrast, Garcia failed to capitalize on his connection to the late Harold Washington, Chicago\u2019s first black mayor, nor did Garcia articulate a clear agenda for the black community.<\/p>\n
\u201cI think Garcia was more framing himself as the people\u2019s candidate, but not the \u2018this is what I will do,\u2019\u201d she said.<\/p>\n
3. Most improved player: Which candidate upped his game more?<\/h1>\n
Short answer: Garcia. A closer look at the results showed that Garcia gained votes in most wards during the runoff, relative to his performance in February. Emanuel, on the other hand, lost voters in 14 wards.<\/p>\n
[field name=”Runoffmap3″]<\/p>\n
Emanuel’s performance: Green indicates wards where he gained votes in the runoff, compared to his performance in February. Red indicates wards where he lost votes. Darker colors indicate a bigger gain or loss. (Jia You\/Medill)<\/div>\n
[field name=”runoffmap3.1″]<\/p>\n
Garcia’s performance: Green indicates wards where he gained votes in the runoff, compared to his performance in February. Red indicates wards where he lost votes. Darker colors indicate a bigger gain or loss. (Jia You\/Medill)<\/div>\n
A split within the black community may have helped Garcia, Dancy said. Younger black voters were less impressed by Emanuel\u2019s \u201cObama effect,\u201d and identified more with Garcia.<\/p>\n
\u201cAs people transition and get older, the younger generation is saying they want a different direction,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
Garcia\u2019s popularity also marked the growth of Chicago\u2019s Latino population and electorate, who were upset over violent crimes and school closures in their neighborhoods, Pattillo said.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt\u2019s quite impressive that Garcia was able to mount such a challenge and push him to a runoff,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n
4. Wilson, Fioretti, and Walls: Where did votes for them go?<\/h1>\n
Short answer: where their endorsements went. Though none of the three candidates won a ward during the general election, their endorsements still swung support for Emanuel and Garcia.<\/p>\n
[field name=”runoffmap4″]<\/p>\n
Top Fioretti wards: Blue indicates wards where Emanuel’s lead increased during the runoff; orange indicates wards where Garcia’s lead increased. Darker colors indicate a bigger gain in lead. (Jia You\/Medill)<\/div>\n
[field name=”runoffmap4.1″]<\/p>\n
Top Walls and Wilson wards: Blue indicates wards where Emanuel’s lead increased during the runoff; orange indicates wards where Garcia’s lead increased. Darker colors indicate a bigger gain in lead. (Jia You\/Medill)<\/div>\n
In eight of 10 wards where Robert \u201cBob\u201d Fioretti garnered most votes, Emanuel gained even more ground from Garcia during the runoff \u2014 consistent with Fioretti\u2019s endorsement of the mayor.<\/p>\n
Likewise, among the 10 wards that gave Willie Wilson the most support during the general election, all but one saw Emanuel\u2019s lead over Garcia decline during the runoff, consistent with Wilson\u2019s endorsement of Garcia. Votes in the top 10 William \u201cDock\u201d Walls wards followed the same trend, though Walls didn\u2019t endorse either candidate during the runoff.<\/p>\n
At the end of the day, the runoff showed that the mayor didn\u2019t win \u201coverwhelming delight\u201d during his first tenure, Pattillo said.<\/p>\n
\u201cTo have someone with so much connection still be forced into a runoff, it showed that enough people were enough angry,\u201d she said. \u201cEmanuel has learned that a more charismatic leader could have really, really beat him. What if Karen Lewis ran?\u201d<\/p>\n
Lewis, president of the Chicago Teachers Union, withdrew from the mayoral race in October after she was diagnosed with a brain tumor.<\/p>\n
Members from the candidates’ campaign offices weren’t available for comment.<\/p>\n
(Data source: Chicago Board of Elections)<\/p>\n
Photo at top: Data released by the Chicago Board of Elections reveal more details about Rahn Emanuel and Jesus “Chuy” Garcia’s performances during the mayoral runoff. (Andersen Xia\/Medill)<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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