{"id":45533,"date":"2016-11-08T10:58:34","date_gmt":"2016-11-08T16:58:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/?p=45533"},"modified":"2016-11-08T10:58:34","modified_gmt":"2016-11-08T16:58:34","slug":"its-deja-vu-all-over-again-in-doldschneider-race-thats-too-close-to-call","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/its-deja-vu-all-over-again-in-doldschneider-race-thats-too-close-to-call\/","title":{"rendered":"It’s deja vu all over again in Dold\/Schneider race that’s too close to call"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Sarah Haas and Nona Tepper<\/strong><\/p>\n

The stakes are high in Illinois\u2019 10th Congressional District.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s because incumbent Rep. Bob Dold and his Democratic challenger Brad Schneider are facing off once again, although their 2016 contest has proven to be different than their previous races in 2012 and 2014.<\/p>\n

Both candidates have overhauled their political platforms in an effort to broaden their appeal. There also has been significant national focus on this local race to represent a district that includes the majority of Lake County and the northern tip of Cook County. Heading into Tuesday, the Election Projection political tracker predicts that Schneider is leading by 2.1 percent<\/a>, though it is a \u201cweak Democratic lead,\u201d according to the site.<\/p>\n

For months, political analysts and polls have deemed the race a \u201ctoss-up.\u201d Political analyst Larry Sabato at the University of Virginia\u2019s Center for Politics, as well as The Cook Political Report campaign analytics site both claim this race is too-close-to-call a clear forerunner.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Residents also appear ambivalent about who will win.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s a very close race for both of them,\u201d said Vicky Vargas, an 18-year-old student at Waukegan High School. \u201cI think a lot of people are leaning towards Brad Schneider, but Dold is also very involved with all of his awards…he is seeping into the community.\u201d<\/p>\n

In the waning days of the campaign, both Dold and Schneider launched separate \u201cGet Out The Vote\u201d (GOTV) tours around the district.<\/p>\n

Schneider held a series of GOTV phone banking sessions, and greeted voters at train stops and other events in conjunction with local Democratic Senate candidate Tammy Duckworth, and Susana Mendoza, a candidate for Illinois comptroller.<\/p>\n

Riding around in a colorful campaign bus, Dold too launched his \u201cPeople Before Politics\u201d tour on Thursday, with stops to talk to voters across the district about the economy, job creation, healthcare and community safety. For the first time, Dold will be explaining to voters that he\u2019s running on an \u201cindependent\u201d platform ticket, which he defines as voting across parties on specific issues he believes in.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere\u2019s still too much partisan gridlock in Washington…which is why I\u2019ve broken with my party when I think that they\u2019re wrong and worked with other parties and when I think that they\u2019re right,\u201d Dold said in his opening remarks in a debate at Glenbrook South High School on Oct. 20. \u201cUltimately we\u2019ve been ranked as one of the most independent bipartisan and effective member of Congress.\u201d<\/p>\n

Dold did not specify which organization ranked him as one of the most bipartisan Congressman, but the political rebrand comes at a time when Congress has been gridlocked over such issues as women\u2019s reproductive rights.<\/p>\n

Dold recently asserted his more moderate platform by breaking from the Republican party and voting against defunding Planned Parenthood in January 2016, a stark change from his vote to ban federal health coverage, which would include abortions, in 2011. Indeed, the 10th District is one of the few districts in the state that Planned Parenthood has refused to formally endorse either candidate since both Dold and Schneider are women\u2019s health advocates, a Planned Parenthood spokesperson said.<\/p>\n

Dold\u2019s political flip on such topics as abortion, and his rebrand as an independent may be an attempt to showcase his ability to compromise, or perhaps an effort to distance himself from the Republican Party and its volatile presidential nominee, Donald Trump. His change has not gone unnoticed by 10th District residents.<\/p>\n

\u201cCongressman Dold is not an extremist Republican, like Donald Trump,\u201d said Meryl Sosa, resident of Glenview, and executive director of the Illinois Psychiatric Institute. \u201cHe\u2019s more of a moderate…And I think it\u2019s a little bit different than other districts.\u201d<\/p>\n

Dold\u2019s platform changeup is just one factor differentiating this election from years past.<\/p>\n

Significant donations from national leadership political action committees (PACs) to both candidates also makes 2016 unique. Across the nation, PACs like the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the National Republican Congressional Committee, the United States Chamber of Commerce and others have opened their pocketbooks to Dold and Schneider.<\/p>\n

So far, Dold has raised more than $5 million to Schneider\u2019s $3.9 million. Historically, a fundraising advantage has not necessarily equated to a win in the 10th District. In 2014, Dold trumped Schneider even though he raised less money. The opposite held in 2012, when Schneider beat Dold, despite the Democrat\u2019s funding deficit.<\/p>\n

The amount of national attention Schneider has received also is a change from previous years.<\/p>\n

President Barack Obama and first lady Michelle Obama have lent their support to Schneider, with both releasing separate television advertisements for the Democrat. It is the first time either POTUS or FLOTUS has expressed an interest in this race.<\/p>\n

\u201cBrad is exactly the kind of leader we need in Congress,\u201d Michelle Obama said in a widespread advertisement. \u201cHe\u2019ll be a strong voice for Illinois.\u201d<\/p>\n

With a Gallup poll ranking Ms. Obama\u2019s approval rating at a high of 65 percent, the endorsement could provide the boost that Schneider needs.<\/p>\n

Still, by most accounts, the race remained too close to call right up until election day. And even though this ongoing battle between Dold and Schneider has the whiff of political deja-vu, residents say the candidates and the contest reflect the moderate tenor of the district.<\/p>\n

“The two candidates are fairly close in a lot of ways because the district is that way,” said Sosa. \u201cBecause of this district they have to be both somewhat moderate and neither one can be extremists.”<\/p>\n

Photo at top: U.S. Rep. Bob Dold (far right) and his Democratic challenger Brad Schneider (right) appear at a forum on mental health in October, moderated by Larry Yellen (center), a reporter for Fox 32, Chicago (Sarah Haas\/MEDILL)<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Sarah Haas and Nona Tepper The stakes are high in Illinois\u2019 10th Congressional District. That\u2019s because incumbent Rep. Bob Dold and his Democratic challenger Brad Schneider are facing off once again, although their 2016 contest has proven to be different than their previous races in 2012 and 2014. Both candidates have overhauled their political […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":326,"featured_media":45617,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1145,2941,2952,2951],"tags":[3288,1143,3286,111,3289,3287],"class_list":["post-45533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-election-2016","category-fall-2016","category-politics","category-politicsnational-security","tag-10th-district","tag-barack-obama","tag-dold","tag-illinois","tag-michelle-obama","tag-schneider"],"yoast_head":"\nIt's deja vu all over again in Dold\/Schneider race that's too close to call - Medill Reports Chicago<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/its-deja-vu-all-over-again-in-doldschneider-race-thats-too-close-to-call\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"It's deja vu all over again in Dold\/Schneider race that's too close to call - Medill Reports Chicago\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Sarah Haas and Nona Tepper The stakes are high in Illinois\u2019 10th Congressional District. 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