{"id":88132,"date":"2020-03-16T17:16:05","date_gmt":"2020-03-16T22:16:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/?p=88132"},"modified":"2020-03-17T10:14:32","modified_gmt":"2020-03-17T15:14:32","slug":"illinois-political-polls-explained","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/","title":{"rendered":"Illinois political polls, explained"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Samone Blair<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>Medill Reports<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"dropcap\">Three weeks ago, former Vice President Joe Biden was polling at 20% support amongst Illinois democrats according to <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/20200221_IL.pdf\">Victory Research. T<\/a>his week, he\u2019s at 63% in a <a href=\"https:\/\/3wyh0y392y42oz41z1bbzx5w-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Illinois-Dems-March-11-2020.pdf\">Gravis Marketing poll<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Based on the tumultuous nature of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary, both of these polls were right at the time when they were conducted.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Illinois Political Polls, Explained\" src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/397542058?dnt=1&amp;app_id=122963\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"autoplay; fullscreen\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>\u201cI wasn\u2019t planning on conducting another poll before the primary,\u201d said Rod McCulloch, founder of Victory Research. \u201cBut the recent nationwide shift in the race between Biden and Sanders makes me curious as well as anybody else.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Polls are a helpful tool for candidates and voters. Candidates can adapt their campaign strategy based on poll results and voters can feel more informed in their decision making because of them.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s not a perfect predictor of the outcome,\u201d said Dick Simpson, political science professor at University of Illinois at Chicago and a former 44th Ward alderman. \u201cThe real predictor is how people vote on election day.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The accuracy of the polls will be tested once results are shared from the March 17 primary.<\/p>\n<p><em>Correction: A previous version of this story misspelled Rod McCulloch&#8217;s name.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"featurecaption\">Early voting is in place across Chicago, including at University of Illinois Chicago\u2019s campus. (Samone Blair\/MEDILL)<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Samone Blair Medill Reports Three weeks ago, former Vice President Joe Biden was polling at 20% support amongst Illinois democrats according to Victory Research. This week, he\u2019s at 63% in a Gravis Marketing poll. Based on the tumultuous nature of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary, both of these polls were right at the time [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":687,"featured_media":88135,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4946,2951,4892],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-88132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-election-2020","category-politicsnational-security","category-winter-2020"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Illinois political polls, explained - Medill Reports Chicago<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Illinois political polls, explained - Medill Reports Chicago\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Samone Blair Medill Reports Three weeks ago, former Vice President Joe Biden was polling at 20% support amongst Illinois democrats according to Victory Research. This week, he\u2019s at 63% in a Gravis Marketing poll. Based on the tumultuous nature of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary, both of these polls were right at the time [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Medill Reports Chicago\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-03-16T22:16:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-03-17T15:14:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/WP%20Media%20Folder%20-%20medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-15-at-2.15.39-PM.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1100\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"599\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"samoneblair2020\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"samoneblair2020\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/\",\"name\":\"Illinois political polls, explained - Medill Reports Chicago\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/WP%20Media%20Folder%20-%20medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-15-at-2.15.39-PM.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-03-16T22:16:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-03-17T15:14:32+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/#\/schema\/person\/9763395cb041cf69fd8e3a01f815261e\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/illinois-political-polls-explained\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/WP%20Media%20Folder%20-%20medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-15-at-2.15.39-PM.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/WP%20Media%20Folder%20-%20medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/03\/Screen-Shot-2020-03-15-at-2.15.39-PM.png\",\"width\":1100,\"height\":599,\"caption\":\"Early voting is in place across Chicago, including at University of Illinois Chicago\u2019s campus. 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