{"id":93332,"date":"2020-11-19T16:25:12","date_gmt":"2020-11-19T22:25:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/?p=93332"},"modified":"2020-11-19T16:42:26","modified_gmt":"2020-11-19T22:42:26","slug":"trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump warns the Green New Deal will \u2018take out the cows.\u2019 Here&#8217;s the science showing why that&#8217;s a myth."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Grace Rodgers and Carlyn Kranking<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>Medill Reports<\/em><\/p>\n<p>At the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=uka6S7hj3ec\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">first 2020 Presidential debate<\/a>, President Donald Trump said that Green New Deal supporters \u201cwant to take out the cows\u201d to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Not only is this claim <a href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/politics\/trump-debate-climate-change-fact-check\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">untrue<\/a>, but eliminating cows, which notoriously produce the greenhouse gas methane, isn\u2019t necessary to address climate change, according to University of Oxford researchers.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt would be good if you maybe ate less beef, had less milk \u2014 but we don\u2019t need to completely get rid of all the cows,\u201d said John Lynch, postdoctoral researcher at the University of Oxford.<\/p>\n<p>Lynch studies ways to anticipate the impacts of greenhouse gases and suggests that the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide is more important to address than methane. It takes much less time to reverse the impact of methane emissions than it does to undo the effects of carbon dioxide, so it\u2019s possible to delay addressing methane, he said. His suggestion has huge implications, because the way greenhouse gases are reported and compared in policies today doesn\u2019t make it clear how differently these gases behave.<\/p>\n\n<!-- iframe plugin v.6.0 wordpress.org\/plugins\/iframe\/ -->\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/480900785\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"autoplay; fullscreen\" 0=\"allowfullscreen\" scrolling=\"yes\" class=\"iframe-class\"><\/iframe>\n\n<p>The Global Warming Potential (GWP) is a metric used to compare how much different greenhouse gases will warm the atmosphere across a given period into the future. Organizations including the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change publish the GWP in their reports.<\/p>\n<p>However, Lynch\u2019s research shows that, for some purposes, the GWP metric may be misleading. Reporting all gases as though they were on the same playing field, experts say, does not account for key differences between them, especially between methane and carbon dioxide.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMetrics that try and treat the gases in the same way are always going to have limitations,\u201d Lynch said.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_92376\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-92376\" style=\"width: 800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/wp-media-folder-medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/11\/Screen-Shot-2020-11-14-at-5.35.44-PM.png\" alt=\"A figure from Lynch's report demonstrates the differing effects of carbon dioxide and methane on warming over time.\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-92376\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1. compares sustained emissions of carbon dioxide, CO2, and methane, CH4. A fixed amount of methane emissions results in an eventual leveling of warming, while a fixed amount of carbon dioxide emissions results in constant rise in warming. (John Lynch\/\/<a href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/ab6d7e\/meta\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Demonstrating GWP*<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In the first few decades after it\u2019s emitted, methane causes more warming per kilogram than carbon dioxide does. Methane, however, breaks down after about 12 years, while carbon dioxide accumulates in the atmosphere, warming the planet for millennia.<\/p>\n<p>Calculating warming potential over 100 years, for instance, does not account for how strongly methane warms the planet initially, nor does it account for the full effects that CO2 emissions will have.<\/p>\n<p>So, if the GWP measurement is misleading, what does this mean for potential policies based on that statistic?<\/p>\n<p>It would be best to cut both carbon dioxide and methane emissions, Lynch said. But because governments have limited will and resources to address the problem, he said it is more important to achieve net zero carbon emissions before cutting methane.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf we prioritize the methane, first we will have a large quick benefit\u201d as methane levels in the atmosphere rapidly fall, Lynch said. \u201cBut in the meantime, we will have carried on emitting all the CO2 that we decided not to bother with because methane looks easy. And then, in a couple of decades, we&#8217;ll be stuck with that CO2 warming, whereas if we just delayed our action on methane, we&#8217;d still be able to reverse that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Still, governments should not ignore methane emissions in climate policy, as all greenhouse gases warm the planet, Lynch said. But ultimately, the most important thing to do is to get to net zero carbon dioxide, because that\u2019s the gas with the longest-lasting and biggest impact on global warming.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere&#8217;s a lot of harm in delaying things that address carbon emissions,\u201d said physicist Raymond Pierrehumbert, a professor and statutory chair in the physics department at the University of Oxford.<\/p>\n<p>These long-lasting emissions will warm the planet, causing more extreme weather conditions, droughts, floods and rising sea levels. The longer it takes to reach net-zero CO2 emissions, the more severe these effects will be.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why Lynch feels we \u201cdon\u2019t really have a choice\u201d on whether or not to decrease carbon emissions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAll of your energy needs to be decarbonized,\u201d Lynch said. \u201cIf we don&#8217;t, we&#8217;ll never stop the temperature going up.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>Grace Rodgers and Carlyn Kranking are Health, Environment and Science reporters at Medill. You can follow them on Twitter at <a href=\"twitter.com\/gracelizrodgers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@gracelizrodgers<\/a> and <a href=\"twitter.com\/carlyn_kranking\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@carlyn_kranking<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Grace Rodgers and Carlyn Kranking Medill Reports At the first 2020 Presidential debate, President Donald Trump said that Green New Deal supporters \u201cwant to take out the cows\u201d to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Not only is this claim untrue, but eliminating cows, which notoriously produce the greenhouse gas methane, isn\u2019t necessary to address climate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":703,"featured_media":93335,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5045,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-93332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fall-2020","category-health-and-science"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trump warns the Green New Deal will \u2018take out the cows.\u2019 Here&#039;s the science showing why that&#039;s a myth. - Medill Reports Chicago<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump warns the Green New Deal will \u2018take out the cows.\u2019 Here&#039;s the science showing why that&#039;s a myth. - Medill Reports Chicago\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Grace Rodgers and Carlyn Kranking Medill Reports At the first 2020 Presidential debate, President Donald Trump said that Green New Deal supporters \u201cwant to take out the cows\u201d to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Not only is this claim untrue, but eliminating cows, which notoriously produce the greenhouse gas methane, isn\u2019t necessary to address climate [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Medill Reports Chicago\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-11-19T22:25:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-11-19T22:42:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/wp-media-folder-medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/11\/pexels-photo-735967.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2248\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Carlyn Kranking\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Carlyn Kranking\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/\",\"name\":\"Trump warns the Green New Deal will \u2018take out the cows.\u2019 Here's the science showing why that's a myth. - Medill Reports Chicago\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/wp-media-folder-medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/11\/pexels-photo-735967.jpeg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-11-19T22:25:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-11-19T22:42:26+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/#\/schema\/person\/162bec5e97f6c213bc7f7eefe57b32ae\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/news.medill.northwestern.edu\/chicago\/trump-warns-the-green-new-deal-will-take-out-the-cows-heres-the-science-showing-why-thats-a-myth\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/wp-media-folder-medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/11\/pexels-photo-735967.jpeg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/medill.wordpress.offload\/wp-media-folder-medill-reports-chicago\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2020\/11\/pexels-photo-735967.jpeg\",\"width\":2248,\"height\":1500,\"caption\":\"Agricultural livestock, including cows, buffalo and sheep, emit methane through belching and flatulence, contributing to global greenhouse gas emissions and warming. 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